Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004996 0.005494 0.006032 0.006659 0.007371 0.008157 0.009096
2025-10-19 0.004133 0.004810 0.005598 0.006589 0.007816 0.009299 0.011252
2025-10-26 0.003641 0.004397 0.005318 0.006540 0.008144 0.010214 0.013145
2025-11-02 0.003267 0.004056 0.005056 0.006437 0.008338 0.010924 0.014820
2025-11-09 0.003024 0.003847 0.004921 0.006462 0.008675 0.011835 0.016882
2025-11-16 0.002794 0.003626 0.004742 0.006393 0.008852 0.012517 0.018685
2025-11-23 0.002577 0.003400 0.004531 0.006248 0.008889 0.012977 0.020187
2025-11-30 0.002453 0.003292 0.004472 0.006314 0.009241 0.013957 0.022710
2025-12-07 0.002384 0.003255 0.004508 0.006519 0.009828 0.015388 0.026286
2025-12-14 0.002243 0.003102 0.004359 0.006421 0.009903 0.015950 0.028328
2025-12-21 0.002106 0.002946 0.004194 0.006278 0.009884 0.016334 0.030079
2025-12-28 0.002011 0.002845 0.004106 0.006253 0.010063 0.017097 0.032760
2026-01-04 0.001945 0.002790 0.004090 0.006359 0.010504 0.018463 0.037170
2026-01-11 0.001847 0.002679 0.003979 0.006292 0.010628 0.019233 0.040437
2026-01-18 0.001762 0.002583 0.003885 0.006246 0.010781 0.020081 0.044114
2026-01-25 0.001675 0.002478 0.003769 0.006149 0.010822 0.020691 0.047340
2026-02-01 0.001617 0.002417 0.003722 0.006172 0.011106 0.021882 0.052500
2026-02-08 0.001548 0.002334 0.003632 0.006107 0.011197 0.022645 0.056664
2026-02-15 0.001472 0.002236 0.003510 0.005971 0.011124 0.023004 0.059717
2026-02-22 0.001434 0.002198 0.003491 0.006032 0.011484 0.024486 0.066897
2026-03-01 0.001418 0.002198 0.003537 0.006226 0.012159 0.026896 0.078267
2026-03-08 0.001361 0.002123 0.003446 0.006133 0.012171 0.027554 0.083512
2026-03-15 0.001301 0.002042 0.003337 0.005999 0.012070 0.027889 0.087662